We must temper our enthusiasm for the intense class struggle in Turkey. Keeping in mind the dialectical category of appearance vs. essence, the parallel to Egypt is quite palpable. Like Egypt, there is a succession struggle between the rival political parties, neither of which has the worker’s interests at heart. There is a political narrative of the downfall of Mubarak that makes it look spontaneous, yet, in essence, it was a carefully mediated transition guided by the military and with the force of the working class ousting an entrenched leader trying to build a dynasty.
In Turkey, Erdogan is trying to pull a Putin Medvedev game of musical chairs. By trying to change the constitution, Erdogan is trying to pave the way for him to circumvent the term limits on being Prime Minister by becoming President. So, the crackdown on the peaceful sit in against the tearing down of trees in an urban green space and its subsequent uprising, are now being co-opted by political opportunism.
Though there are revisionists and Anarchists at the center of the protests, the liberal party and disaffected angry youth fighting against the creeping Islamism of the AKP and a growing perception (that) has developed among a growing number of Turks that the party is pursuing an aggressive form of capitalism will not be able to topple the state itself. With Erdogan in Tunisia, the genesis of the Arab Spring of two years ago, this is an opportune time for a good old-fashioned Turkish coup. With opposition leaders now openly saying that the protests were justified and criticizing Erdogan, there seems to be a developing front to topple him.
With the sectarian lines dividing the working class based on religion and nationalism, the secular parties with their roots in the urban centers and the Kurdish Parties will challenge the more fundamentalist countryside. The major question is if Turkey will go the way of Syria? If it does, then this means that there are imperialist forces at work with a stake in Turkey’s downfall. Without Turkey to the north sheltering much of Syria’s rebel leadership because it’s mired in its own civil war, Assad will be able to move to an endgame even faster.
Will the US allow their staunch ally and model of a workable Islamic government to topple? Will Saudi Arabia allow the moderate Islam of Turkey and their rivals in the Moslem Brotherhood to challenge their Wahabiism? It is up to the workers to decide. There is a long history of Communist organizing in Turkey and the Red Flag can rise again by the workers and students joining PLP and overthrowing capitalism.
Update on Syria:
The US is now putting Patriot missiles and F-16’s in Jordan. This could signal that they don’t want to use their bullyboy thugs in Israel to bomb Syria’s air defenses and arms caches. With Russia adamant that they will it surrender their last warm water Mediterranean port, the US is escalating the conflict to protect their investment in the Al Qaeda saturated co-opted rebel movement that is a warning to other insurrections as to why a The Revolutionary Communist Progressive Labor Party is needed to smash the state and not allow the uprising to be hijacked.